Trump can still win 2020, here’s how:

We all like to think that Trump has no chance of winning, again. That's what we thought last time. He can win, again, with the same states he carried last time, here's how.

President Trump at a campaign rally, surrounded by frantic supporters holding,

Photo by Politico

President Trump at a campaign rally, surrounded by frantic supporters holding, "Keep America Great" signs.

Lord Toussaint, Admin

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Not many people seem to think that president Trump can win re-election in 2020, but he can win if a far-left candidate wins the democratic presidential nomination. At the moment, the democratic party is divided in terms of ideology. Two of the top three candidates are far-left candidates, while the front runner is more towards the center of the political spectrum. There is great division in terms of policy, and in the opinion as to what direction the Democratic party should be taking. This includes issues such as universal health care, universal basic income, immigration policy, and more.

This is great for president Trump, as this not only divides the Democratic party and the candidates, but the democratic electorate as a whole. Currently, former Vice President Joe Biden, whom is a more moderate candidate, has a polling average of 26 percent, Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren, who is a far left candidate, has a polling average of 20 percent, and Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, whom is also a far left candidate, has a national polling average of 16 percent.

These are the top three democratic candidates, and the division within the democratic party is more noticeable in their polling numbers than anywhere else. If you were to add the polling averages of Senator Warren and Senator Sanders together, you would have 36 percent, which outnumbers vice president Biden by ten percent. If either Sanders or Warren dropped out of the race, all of their supporters would go to one another, completely guaranteeing that a far-left candidate would win the nomination.

Although it may not seem like it in modern day politics, moderates still make up a good amount of the electorate, and many moderates are democrats. If a far-left candidate wins the nomination, many moderate voters might become “spooked”, which would have disastrous consequences for the Democratic party’s bid for the White House.

As a result, of Warren or Sanders winning the Democratic nomination, two things would happen. Firstly, many moderates may simply not vote at all because they disagree with Trump’s policy and the policies of Warren or Sanders. Secondly, the moderate voters living in swing states such as Michigan, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and etcetera, will vote for President Trump, due to the fact that he is the closest to the center.

Simply put, if a far-left candidate, such as Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren were to win the democratic nomination, there would be a “moderate power vacuum” which would result in moderates having no place to go except for Trump which would ultimately result in his victory.